Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 83.93%. A draw had a probability of 10.7% and a win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 5.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.09%) and 4-0 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.99%), while for an Alloa Athletic win it was 1-2 (1.71%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.
