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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 49.6%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 24.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.35%) and 1-2 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.19%), while for a Greenock Morton win it was 1-0 (7.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Dundee |
24.68% ( 0.31) | 25.72% ( -0.3) | 49.6% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 49.38% ( 1.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.23% ( 1.38) | 53.77% ( -1.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.76% ( 1.15) | 75.24% ( -1.15) |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.07% ( 1.04) | 36.93% ( -1.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.28% ( 1.02) | 73.72% ( -1.02) |
| Dundee Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.3% ( 0.56) | 21.7% ( -0.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.14% ( 0.86) | 54.86% ( -0.86) |
| Score Analysis |
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Dundee |
| 1-0 @ 7.98% ( -0.2) 2-1 @ 6.08% ( 0.12)2-0 @ 3.98% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.02% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 1.54% ( 0.1)3-0 @ 1.32% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.76% Total : 24.68% | 1-1 @ 12.19% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 8.01% ( -0.44)2-2 @ 4.64% ( 0.17)Other @ 0.87% Total : 25.71% | 0-1 @ 12.24% ( -0.46) 0-2 @ 9.35% ( -0.19)1-2 @ 9.32% ( 0.08)0-3 @ 4.76% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.75% ( 0.12)2-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.12)0-4 @ 1.82% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.81% ( 0.08)2-4 @ 0.9% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.29% Total : 49.6% |
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