SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 51.59%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 23.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.72%), while for a Greenock Morton win it was 0-1 (7.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Greenock Morton |
51.59% ( -0.44) | 24.65% ( 0.07) | 23.76% ( 0.36) |
| Both teams to score 51.61% ( 0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.63% ( 0.05) | 50.37% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.69% ( 0.04) | 72.31% ( -0.04) |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.48% ( -0.16) | 19.51% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.6% ( -0.25) | 51.4% ( 0.25) |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.12% ( 0.36) | 35.88% ( -0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.34% ( 0.36) | 72.66% ( -0.36) |
| Score Analysis |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Greenock Morton |
| 1-0 @ 11.44% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 9.58% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 9.35% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 5.22% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 5.09% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 2.68% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.13% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 2.08% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.09% ( -0)Other @ 2.93% Total : 51.59% | 1-1 @ 11.72% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.91% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.1% Total : 24.65% | 0-1 @ 7.18% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 6.01% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 3.68% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 2.05% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.91% Total : 23.76% |
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