SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen's Park win with a probability of 55.75%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 20.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen's Park win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.68%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.45%), while for a Greenock Morton win it was 0-1 (6.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Queen's Park | Draw | Greenock Morton |
55.75% ( 0.1) | 24.17% ( -0.02) | 20.08% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 48.31% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.67% ( -0.04) | 52.33% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.98% ( -0.03) | 74.02% ( 0.03) |
| Queen's Park Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.35% ( 0.02) | 18.64% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.04% ( 0.04) | 49.95% ( -0.05) |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.38% ( -0.11) | 40.62% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.79% ( -0.1) | 77.21% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Queen's Park | Draw | Greenock Morton |
| 1-0 @ 12.71% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 10.68% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 9.63% 3-0 @ 5.98% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.39% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.51% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.43% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.26% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.02% ( -0)Other @ 3.13% Total : 55.74% | 1-1 @ 11.45% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.57% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.34% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.8% Total : 24.16% | 0-1 @ 6.82% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.16% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 3.07% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.24% Total : 20.08% |
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