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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 48.95%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Ayr United had a probability of 25.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.2%), while for an Ayr United win it was 0-1 (8%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Ayr United |
48.95% ( -0.31) | 25.69% ( 0.22) | 25.35% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 50.07% ( -0.56) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.82% ( -0.78) | 53.17% ( 0.78) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.26% ( -0.66) | 74.74% ( 0.66) |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.26% ( -0.45) | 21.74% ( 0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.08% ( -0.7) | 54.92% ( 0.7) |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.98% ( -0.34) | 36.01% ( 0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.2% ( -0.36) | 72.79% ( 0.36) |
| Score Analysis |
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Ayr United |
| 1-0 @ 11.94% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 9.31% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 9.12% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.74% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 4.64% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.42% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 1.81% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 1.77% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.29% Total : 48.95% | 1-1 @ 12.2% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 7.83% ( 0.24)2-2 @ 4.75% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.91% Total : 25.69% | 0-1 @ 8% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 6.23% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.08% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.39% ( 0)Other @ 1.91% Total : 25.35% |
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