SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 48.91%. A win for Queen's Park had a probability of 26.61% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.51%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest Queen's Park win was 0-1 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Greenock Morton would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Queen's Park |
48.91% ( 0) | 24.48% ( -0.01) | 26.61% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 54.95% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.7% ( 0.03) | 47.3% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.47% ( 0.03) | 69.53% ( -0.03) |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.61% ( 0.01) | 19.39% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.8% ( 0.02) | 51.2% ( -0.02) |
| Queen's Park Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.17% ( 0.02) | 31.83% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.73% ( 0.02) | 68.27% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Queen's Park |
| 1-0 @ 10.12% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.51% ( 0)2-0 @ 8.3% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.2% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.54% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.98% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.13% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.86% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.22% ( 0)Other @ 3.05% Total : 48.91% | 1-1 @ 11.59% 0-0 @ 6.17% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.44% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.14% ( 0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.48% | 0-1 @ 7.07% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.63% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.05% 1-3 @ 2.53% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.08% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.54% Other @ 2.71% Total : 26.61% |
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