Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 48.29%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Arbroath had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.19%) and 2-1 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.4%), while for an Arbroath win it was 0-1 (8.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.
