Arbroath
2 - 1
Alloa

Hamilton (59'), Gold (83')
Hamilton (69'), Gold (89')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Trouten (64')
Hetherington (21')

Data Analysis

The Match

Match Report

David strikes Gold as Arbroath boost survival hopes with win over Alloa.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 59.6%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 18.41%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.42%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.43%), while for an Alloa Athletic win it was 0-1 (5.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arbroath would win this match.

Result
Arbroath	Draw	Alloa Athletic
59.6%	21.99%	18.41%

Both teams to score 52.22%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.3%

45.69%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.98%

68.02%

Arbroath Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.06%

14.94%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.65%

43.35%

Alloa Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.4%

38.6%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.65%

75.35%

Score Analysis

Arbroath 59.59%

Alloa Athletic 18.41%

Draw 21.98%

Arbroath	Draw	Alloa Athletic
1-0 @ 10.96% 2-0 @ 10.42% 2-1 @ 9.92% 3-0 @ 6.6% 3-1 @ 6.29% 4-0 @ 3.14% 3-2 @ 2.99% 4-1 @ 2.99% 4-2 @ 1.42% 5-0 @ 1.19% 5-1 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.53% Total : 59.59%	1-1 @ 10.43% 0-0 @ 5.77% 2-2 @ 4.72% 3-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.98%	0-1 @ 5.49% 1-2 @ 4.97% 0-2 @ 2.61% 1-3 @ 1.58% 2-3 @ 1.5% Other @ 2.27% Total : 18.41%