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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 48.92%. A win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 26.16% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (8.61%). The likeliest Greenock Morton win was 0-1 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ayr United | Draw | Greenock Morton |
48.92% ( 0.33) | 24.92% ( -0.01) | 26.16% ( -0.32) |
| Both teams to score 53.17% ( -0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.53% ( -0.2) | 49.46% ( 0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.5% ( -0.18) | 71.5% ( 0.17) |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.75% ( 0.06) | 20.25% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.41% ( 0.09) | 52.58% ( -0.1) |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.66% ( -0.36) | 33.33% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.04% ( -0.4) | 69.95% ( 0.39) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ayr United | Draw | Greenock Morton |
| 1-0 @ 10.77% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 9.46% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 8.61% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 5.04% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 4.58% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 2.77% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.01% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.83% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0)Other @ 2.75% Total : 48.91% | 1-1 @ 11.84% 0-0 @ 6.75% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 5.2% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.92% | 0-1 @ 7.41% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.51% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 4.07% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.39% Total : 26.16% |
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