Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen's Park win with a probability of 38.7%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 33.62% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen's Park win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.15%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 0-1 (10.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
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