SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen's Park win with a probability of 48.85%. A win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 26.83% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen's Park win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.51%) and 2-0 (8.17%). The likeliest Greenock Morton win was 0-1 (6.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Queen's Park in this match.
| Result | ||
| Queen's Park | Draw | Greenock Morton |
48.85% ( -0.14) | 24.32% ( 0.03) | 26.83% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 55.68% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.58% ( -0.03) | 46.42% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.3% ( -0.03) | 68.7% ( 0.03) |
| Queen's Park Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.93% ( -0.07) | 19.07% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.33% ( -0.12) | 50.67% ( 0.12) |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.8% ( 0.07) | 31.19% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.47% ( 0.08) | 67.53% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Queen's Park | Draw | Greenock Morton |
| 1-0 @ 9.86% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.51% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.17% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 5.26% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 4.51% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.06% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.18% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.87% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.27% ( -0)Other @ 3.17% Total : 48.85% | 1-1 @ 11.48% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.95% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.54% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.19% ( 0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.31% | 0-1 @ 6.93% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.69% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 4.04% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.6% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.15% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.86% Total : 26.83% |
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