SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 43.47%. A win for Partick Thistle had a probability of 31.52% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Partick Thistle win was 0-1 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Raith Rovers | Draw | Partick Thistle |
43.47% ( 0.18) | 25.01% ( 0.62) | 31.52% ( -0.79) |
| Both teams to score 56.43% ( -2.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.17% ( -3.09) | 46.83% ( 3.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.92% ( -2.95) | 69.08% ( 2.96) |
| Raith Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.45% ( -1.21) | 21.55% ( 1.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.37% ( -1.9) | 54.63% ( 1.9) |
| Partick Thistle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.93% ( -2.01) | 28.07% ( 2.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.26% ( -2.63) | 63.74% ( 2.63) |
| Score Analysis |
| Raith Rovers | Draw | Partick Thistle |
| 1-0 @ 9.29% ( 0.84) 2-1 @ 9.05% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.13% ( 0.4)3-1 @ 4.63% ( -0.17)3-0 @ 3.65% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 2.94% ( -0.29)4-1 @ 1.78% ( -0.13)4-0 @ 1.4% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.16)Other @ 2.49% Total : 43.47% | 1-1 @ 11.79% ( 0.44) 0-0 @ 6.05% ( 0.75)2-2 @ 5.75% ( -0.33)3-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.2)Other @ 0.17% Total : 25% | 0-1 @ 7.69% ( 0.56) 1-2 @ 7.49% ( -0.14)0-2 @ 4.88% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 3.17% ( -0.25)2-3 @ 2.43% ( -0.29)0-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.08)1-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.14)Other @ 2.78% Total : 31.52% |
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