SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 48.48%. A win for Partick Thistle had a probability of 26.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (8.22%). The likeliest Partick Thistle win was 0-1 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Raith Rovers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Raith Rovers | Draw | Partick Thistle |
48.48% ( -0.11) | 24.56% ( -0.22) | 26.96% ( 0.34) |
| Both teams to score 55.01% ( 1.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.63% ( 1.2) | 47.37% ( -1.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.41% ( 1.1) | 69.59% ( -1.1) |
| Raith Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.41% ( 0.43) | 19.6% ( -0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.47% ( 0.69) | 51.53% ( -0.69) |
| Partick Thistle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.41% ( 0.9) | 31.59% ( -0.89) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.01% ( 1.02) | 68% ( -1.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Raith Rovers | Draw | Partick Thistle |
| 1-0 @ 10.09% ( -0.37) 2-1 @ 9.48% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 8.22% ( -0.19)3-1 @ 5.15% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 4.47% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.97% ( 0.12)4-1 @ 2.1% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 1.82% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.21% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.99% Total : 48.48% | 1-1 @ 11.62% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 6.19% ( -0.31)2-2 @ 5.46% ( 0.14)3-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.55% | 0-1 @ 7.13% ( -0.18) 1-2 @ 6.7% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 4.11% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.57% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 2.1% ( 0.1)0-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.77% Total : 26.96% |
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