SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 41.33%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 33.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.82%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 1-0 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Motherwell would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Arbroath | Draw | Motherwell |
33.33% ( 0.1) | 25.34% ( 0.17) | 41.33% ( -0.27) |
| Both teams to score 55.97% ( -0.55) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.28% ( -0.73) | 47.71% ( 0.73) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.09% ( -0.67) | 69.91% ( 0.67) |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.64% ( -0.29) | 27.36% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.18% ( -0.38) | 62.82% ( 0.38) |
| Motherwell Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.05% ( -0.45) | 22.95% ( 0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.27% ( -0.66) | 56.73% ( 0.66) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arbroath | Draw | Motherwell |
| 1-0 @ 8.14% ( 0.18) 2-1 @ 7.76% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.27% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 3.35% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 2.28% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.09% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.97% Total : 33.33% | 1-1 @ 11.97% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 6.28% ( 0.19)2-2 @ 5.71% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.33% | 0-1 @ 9.24% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 8.82% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 6.8% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 4.33% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 3.34% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.8% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 1.59% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.16% Total : 41.33% |
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