SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 53.45%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Arbroath had a probability of 21.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.25%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.79%), while for an Arbroath win it was 0-1 (7.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Raith Rovers | Draw | Arbroath |
53.45% ( 1.48) | 24.9% ( -0.2) | 21.65% ( -1.28) |
| Both teams to score 48.38% ( -0.96) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.63% ( -0.47) | 53.37% ( 0.47) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.09% ( -0.4) | 74.91% ( 0.4) |
| Raith Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.06% ( 0.41) | 19.94% ( -0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.91% ( 0.66) | 52.08% ( -0.66) |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.43% ( -1.52) | 39.57% ( 1.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.74% ( -1.44) | 76.26% ( 1.44) |
| Score Analysis |
| Raith Rovers | Draw | Arbroath |
| 1-0 @ 12.72% ( 0.4) 2-0 @ 10.25% ( 0.44)2-1 @ 9.51% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 5.51% ( 0.31)3-1 @ 5.11% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 2.37% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 2.22% ( 0.15)4-1 @ 2.06% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.73% Total : 53.44% | 1-1 @ 11.79% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 7.89% ( 0.15)2-2 @ 4.41% ( -0.17)Other @ 0.8% Total : 24.89% | 0-1 @ 7.31% ( -0.17) 1-2 @ 5.47% ( -0.29)0-2 @ 3.39% ( -0.22)1-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.16)2-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.11)0-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.12)Other @ 1.38% Total : 21.65% |
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