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Scottish Championship | Gameweek 21
Jan 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
Gayfield Park
IC

Arbroath
1 - 4
Inverness

Ben El-Mhanni (26')
Gold (35'), Hamilton (55')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Mckay (9'), Henderson (45'), MacKay (65'), Nicolson (86')
Devine (16'), Duffy (33'), Henderson (61')
Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Arbroath and Inverness Caledonian Thistle.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dundee 2-4 Arbroath
Monday, January 2 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 47.38%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.46%), while for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win it was 0-1 (8.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.

Result
ArbroathDrawInverness Caledonian Thistle
47.38% (1.552 1.55) 26.32% (-0.552 -0.55) 26.3% (-0.998 -1)
Both teams to score 49.04% (0.85 0.85)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.08% (1.465 1.47)54.92% (-1.462 -1.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.79% (1.198 1.2)76.21% (-1.194 -1.19)
Arbroath Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.82% (1.375 1.38)23.18% (-1.372 -1.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.93% (1.965 1.97)57.07% (-1.963 -1.96)
Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.84% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)36.16% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.06% (-0.035 -0.04)72.94% (0.036999999999992 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Arbroath 47.38%
    Inverness Caledonian Thistle 26.3%
    Draw 26.32%
ArbroathDrawInverness Caledonian Thistle
1-0 @ 12.25% (-0.2 -0.2)
2-1 @ 9.11% (0.205 0.21)
2-0 @ 8.96% (0.21 0.21)
3-1 @ 4.44% (0.27 0.27)
3-0 @ 4.36% (0.27 0.27)
3-2 @ 2.26% (0.136 0.14)
4-1 @ 1.62% (0.159 0.16)
4-0 @ 1.6% (0.158 0.16)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 47.38%
1-1 @ 12.46% (-0.22 -0.22)
0-0 @ 8.38% (-0.487 -0.49)
2-2 @ 4.63% (0.1 0.1)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 26.32%
0-1 @ 8.53% (-0.504 -0.5)
1-2 @ 6.34% (-0.117 -0.12)
0-2 @ 4.34% (-0.261 -0.26)
1-3 @ 2.15% (-0.041 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.57% (0.032 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.47% (-0.09 -0.09)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 26.3%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Dundee 2-4 Arbroath
Monday, January 2 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Arbroath 1-4 Queen's Park
Friday, December 23 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Raith Rovers 1-1 Arbroath
Saturday, December 17 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Arbroath 1-5 Dunfermline
Friday, December 9 at 7.45pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
Last Game: Arbroath 1-1 Morton
Saturday, December 3 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Partick 3-0 Arbroath
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Inverness 6-1 Cove Rangers
Monday, January 2 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Partick 5-1 Inverness
Friday, December 23 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Hamilton 2-0 Inverness
Saturday, December 10 at 3pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
Last Game: Inverness 0-1 Dundee
Saturday, December 3 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Inverness 2-2 Ayr
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Queen's Park 2-1 Inverness
Saturday, November 12 at 5.30pm in Scottish Championship


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