SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 38.53%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 34.96% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.36%) and 0-2 (6.69%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 1-0 (9.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hibernian would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Motherwell | Draw | Hibernian |
34.96% ( 0.59) | 26.51% ( 0.01) | 38.53% ( -0.6) |
| Both teams to score 52.41% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.56% ( 0.03) | 52.44% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.88% ( 0.03) | 74.12% ( -0.03) |
| Motherwell Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.36% ( 0.38) | 28.64% ( -0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.55% ( 0.48) | 64.45% ( -0.47) |
| Hibernian Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.45% ( -0.31) | 26.55% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.23% ( -0.42) | 61.77% ( 0.42) |
| Score Analysis |
| Motherwell | Draw | Hibernian |
| 1-0 @ 9.51% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 7.88% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 5.95% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 3.29% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 2.48% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 2.18% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.03% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.66% Total : 34.96% | 1-1 @ 12.6% 0-0 @ 7.61% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.23% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.5% | 0-1 @ 10.08% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 8.36% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 6.69% ( -0.13)1-3 @ 3.7% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 2.96% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 2.31% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.23% Total : 38.52% |
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