SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 43.99%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 29.63% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 0-1 (8.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ayr United | Draw | Arbroath |
43.99% ( 0) | 26.38% ( 0.44) | 29.63% ( -0.44) |
| Both teams to score 51.08% ( -1.58) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.65% ( -1.94) | 53.35% ( 1.95) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.11% ( -1.67) | 74.89% ( 1.67) |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.89% ( -0.85) | 24.11% ( 0.85) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.59% ( -1.22) | 58.41% ( 1.22) |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.3% ( -1.32) | 32.7% ( 1.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.75% ( -1.51) | 69.25% ( 1.51) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ayr United | Draw | Arbroath |
| 1-0 @ 11.21% ( 0.57) 2-1 @ 8.92% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 7.98% ( 0.22)3-1 @ 4.23% ( -0.15)3-0 @ 3.78% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.36% ( -0.17)4-1 @ 1.5% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 1.35% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.66% Total : 43.99% | 1-1 @ 12.53% ( 0.2) 0-0 @ 7.88% ( 0.59)2-2 @ 4.98% ( -0.23)Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.37% | 0-1 @ 8.81% ( 0.35) 1-2 @ 7.01% ( -0.14)0-2 @ 4.93% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.15)2-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.16)0-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.58% Total : 29.63% |
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