SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 40.47%. A win for Hamilton Academical had a probability of 34.8% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.34%) and 0-2 (6.31%). The likeliest Hamilton Academical win was 2-1 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hamilton Academical | Draw | Hearts |
34.8% ( 0.41) | 24.73% ( -0.11) | 40.47% ( -0.31) |
| Both teams to score 58.44% ( 0.47) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.34% ( 0.57) | 44.66% ( -0.57) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.98% ( 0.55) | 67.02% ( -0.55) |
| Hamilton Academical Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.97% ( 0.51) | 25.03% ( -0.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.3% ( 0.7) | 59.7% ( -0.7) |
| Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.96% ( 0.1) | 22.04% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.62% ( 0.15) | 55.38% ( -0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hamilton Academical | Draw | Hearts |
| 2-1 @ 8% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 7.64% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 5.29% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.7% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 2.79% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 2.44% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 1.28% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 0.97% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.68% Total : 34.8% | 1-1 @ 11.55% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 6.05% ( 0.06)0-0 @ 5.52% ( -0.14)3-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.73% | 1-2 @ 8.74% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 8.34% ( -0.18)0-2 @ 6.31% ( -0.12)1-3 @ 4.4% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.18% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 3.05% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.67% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.2% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.15% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.43% Total : 40.47% |
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