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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 54.06%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 21.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.81%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.42%), while for a Greenock Morton win it was 0-1 (6.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Hamilton Academical in this match.
| Result | ||
| Hamilton Academical | Draw | Greenock Morton |
54.06% ( -0.03) | 24.01% ( -0) | 21.93% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 51.37% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.41% ( 0.06) | 49.59% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.38% ( 0.06) | 71.61% ( -0.06) |
| Hamilton Academical Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.74% ( 0.01) | 18.25% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.7% ( 0.02) | 49.3% ( -0.02) |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.84% ( 0.07) | 37.16% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.05% ( 0.07) | 73.95% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hamilton Academical | Draw | Greenock Morton |
| 1-0 @ 11.53% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 9.81% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 9.71% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.56% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.51% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.73% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.37% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.34% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.16% ( 0)Other @ 3.34% Total : 54.05% | 1-1 @ 11.42% 0-0 @ 6.78% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.81% ( 0.01)Other @ 1% Total : 24.01% | 0-1 @ 6.72% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.65% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.32% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.59% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.1% ( 0)Other @ 1.69% Total : 21.93% |
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