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Scottish Cup | Fourth Round
Jan 31, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Tulloch Caledonian Stadium
QP

Inverness
3 - 0
Queen's Park


Duffy (39')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Thomas (74'), Williamson (84')
Longridge (81'), Boateng (83')
Coverage of the Scottish Cup Fourth Round clash between Inverness Caledonian Thistle and Queen's Park.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Raith Rovers 2-2 Inverness
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Dundee 3-0 Queen's Park
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 52.45%. A win for Queen's Park had a probability of 25.24% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.01%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Queen's Park win was 1-2 (6.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.

Result
Inverness Caledonian ThistleDrawQueen's Park
52.45% (4.595 4.6) 22.31% (-1.06 -1.06) 25.24% (-3.54 -3.54)
Both teams to score 61.06% (0.572 0.57)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.36% (2.15 2.15)38.63% (-2.155 -2.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.06% (2.236 2.24)60.93% (-2.242 -2.24)
Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.14% (2.424 2.42)14.86% (-2.429 -2.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.81% (4.438 4.44)43.18% (-4.444 -4.44)
Queen's Park Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.71% (-1.413 -1.41)28.29% (1.408 1.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.99% (-1.819 -1.82)64.01% (1.814 1.81)
Score Analysis
    Inverness Caledonian Thistle 52.45%
    Queen's Park 25.24%
    Draw 22.3%
Inverness Caledonian ThistleDrawQueen's Park
2-1 @ 9.65% (0.243 0.24)
1-0 @ 8.01% (-0.142 -0.14)
2-0 @ 7.64% (0.482 0.48)
3-1 @ 6.13% (0.629 0.63)
3-0 @ 4.86% (0.667 0.67)
3-2 @ 3.87% (0.256 0.26)
4-1 @ 2.92% (0.508 0.51)
4-0 @ 2.31% (0.476 0.48)
4-2 @ 1.85% (0.259 0.26)
5-1 @ 1.12% (0.267 0.27)
Other @ 4.09%
Total : 52.45%
1-1 @ 10.11% (-0.6 -0.6)
2-2 @ 6.09% (-0.087 -0.09)
0-0 @ 4.2% (-0.444 -0.44)
3-3 @ 1.63% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 22.3%
1-2 @ 6.39% (-0.65 -0.65)
0-1 @ 5.31% (-0.797 -0.8)
0-2 @ 3.35% (-0.659 -0.66)
1-3 @ 2.69% (-0.394 -0.39)
2-3 @ 2.56% (-0.142 -0.14)
0-3 @ 1.41% (-0.346 -0.35)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 25.24%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Raith Rovers 2-2 Inverness
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Inverness 0-0 Queen's Park
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Arbroath 1-4 Inverness
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Inverness 6-1 Cove Rangers
Monday, January 2 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Partick 5-1 Inverness
Friday, December 23 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Hamilton 2-0 Inverness
Saturday, December 10 at 3pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
Last Game: Dundee 3-0 Queen's Park
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Inverness 0-0 Queen's Park
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Queen's Park 0-1 Raith Rovers
Wednesday, January 11 at 7.45pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
Last Game: Cove Rangers 0-6 Queen's Park
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Queen's Park 2-0 Partick
Monday, January 2 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Arbroath 1-4 Queen's Park
Friday, December 23 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship


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