SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 54.62%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 22.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 2-0 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.02%), while for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win it was 0-1 (6.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Raith Rovers | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
54.62% ( -0.31) | 23.27% ( 0.13) | 22.12% ( 0.19) |
| Both teams to score 53.97% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.74% ( -0.33) | 46.26% ( 0.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.45% ( -0.31) | 68.55% ( 0.31) |
| Raith Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.17% ( -0.23) | 16.83% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.19% ( -0.41) | 46.81% ( 0.41) |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.89% ( -0.01) | 35.11% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.14% ( -0.01) | 71.86% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Raith Rovers | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
| 1-0 @ 10.53% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.82% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 9.38% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.83% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 5.57% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 3.05% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 2.6% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 2.48% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 0.93% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.05% Total : 54.62% | 1-1 @ 11.02% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 5.91% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 5.14% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.27% | 0-1 @ 6.18% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 5.77% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 3.24% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.79% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.01)Other @ 2% Total : 22.12% |
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