Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Partick Thistle win with a probability of 55.26%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 20.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Partick Thistle win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.2%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.34%), while for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win it was 0-1 (6.62%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Partick Thistle would win this match.
Result | ||
Partick Thistle | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
55.26% ( -0.07) | 23.86% ( 0.03) | 20.87% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 50.36% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.8% ( -0.07) | 50.19% ( 0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.84% ( -0.06) | 72.15% ( 0.06) |
Partick Thistle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.97% ( -0.05) | 18.03% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.08% ( -0.08) | 48.91% ( 0.09) |
Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.44% ( 0) | 38.56% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.69% ( 0) | 75.31% |
Score Analysis |
Partick Thistle | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
1-0 @ 11.91% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 10.2% 2-1 @ 9.72% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.83% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.55% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.65% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.5% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.38% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.13% ( -0) Other @ 3.4% Total : 55.26% | 1-1 @ 11.34% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.95% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.63% ( -0) Other @ 0.93% Total : 23.86% | 0-1 @ 6.62% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.41% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.16% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.72% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.47% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1% ( 0) Other @ 1.49% Total : 20.87% |
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