SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a East Fife win with a probability of 53.51%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Elgin City had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a East Fife win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.75%) and 2-0 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.29%), while for a Elgin City win it was 0-1 (6.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that East Fife would win this match.
| Result | ||
| East Fife | Draw | Elgin City |
53.51% ( -0) | 23.79% ( 0.02) | 22.7% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 53.05% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.15% ( -0.09) | 47.84% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.97% ( -0.08) | 70.03% ( 0.09) |
| East Fife Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.19% ( -0.04) | 17.81% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.46% ( -0.06) | 48.54% ( 0.06) |
| Elgin City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.55% ( -0.06) | 35.45% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.79% ( -0.06) | 72.21% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| East Fife | Draw | Elgin City |
| 1-0 @ 10.89% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.75% ( -0)2-0 @ 9.4% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.61% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.41% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.91% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.42% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.33% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.25% ( -0)Other @ 3.55% Total : 53.5% | 1-1 @ 11.29% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.31% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.05% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.78% | 0-1 @ 6.55% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.86% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.4% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.03% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.17% ( -0)Other @ 1.95% Total : 22.7% |
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