Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 38.11%. A win for Peterhead had a probability of 36.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.39%) and 0-2 (6.01%). The likeliest Peterhead win was 2-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.