SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 37.15%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 36.9% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.26%) and 0-2 (6.18%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 1-0 (9.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ayr United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| St Johnstone | Draw | Ayr United |
36.9% ( -0.23) | 25.94% ( -0.05) | 37.15% ( 0.28) |
| Both teams to score 54.45% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.1% ( 0.21) | 49.89% ( -0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.11% ( 0.19) | 71.88% ( -0.19) |
| St Johnstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.72% ( -0.04) | 26.28% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.6% ( -0.05) | 61.39% ( 0.04) |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.86% ( 0.26) | 26.13% ( -0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.79% ( 0.34) | 61.2% ( -0.35) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Johnstone | Draw | Ayr United |
| 1-0 @ 9.18% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 8.23% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 6.13% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 3.67% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.73% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.46% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.23% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.36% Total : 36.9% | 1-1 @ 12.31% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.87% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 5.52% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.93% | 0-1 @ 9.22% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.26% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 6.18% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 3.7% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 2.77% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.47% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.24% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.39% Total : 37.15% |
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