SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 64.18%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 14.82%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.98%), while for an Alloa Athletic win it was 0-1 (5.11%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ayr United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ayr United | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
64.18% ( -0.24) | 21.01% ( 0.1) | 14.82% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 47.73% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.24% ( -0.12) | 47.76% ( 0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.05% ( -0.11) | 69.95% ( 0.11) |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.83% ( -0.11) | 14.17% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.13% ( -0.22) | 41.87% ( 0.22) |
| Alloa Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.61% ( 0.13) | 44.38% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.56% ( 0.11) | 80.44% ( -0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ayr United | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 12.29% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 12% ( -0.04)2-1 @ 9.75% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 7.82% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 6.35% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 3.82% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 3.1% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.58% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.49% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.26% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.21% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.49% Total : 64.17% | 1-1 @ 9.98% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.29% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 3.96% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.77% Total : 21.01% | 0-1 @ 5.11% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 4.06% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 2.08% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.4% Total : 14.82% |
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