SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 56.51%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Stranraer had a probability of 20.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 2-0 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.83%), while for a Stranraer win it was 0-1 (5.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Greenock Morton would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Stranraer |
56.51% ( -0.01) | 22.85% ( 0.01) | 20.65% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 53.22% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.77% ( -0.05) | 46.23% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.47% ( -0.04) | 68.53% ( 0.04) |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.85% ( -0.02) | 16.15% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.4% ( -0.04) | 45.6% ( 0.04) |
| Stranraer Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.47% ( -0.02) | 36.53% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.68% ( -0.02) | 73.32% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Stranraer |
| 1-0 @ 10.75% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.88% ( -0)2-0 @ 9.81% ( 0)3-1 @ 6% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.96% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.02% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.74% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.72% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.38% ( -0)5-1 @ 1% ( -0)5-0 @ 0.99% ( -0)Other @ 2.28% Total : 56.5% | 1-1 @ 10.83% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.9% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.97% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.84% | 0-1 @ 5.94% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.46% 0-2 @ 2.99% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.83% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.67% ( -0)0-3 @ 1% Other @ 1.75% Total : 20.65% |
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