Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 50.7%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 24.41%.
The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.52%) and 0-2 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.84%), while for an Alloa Athletic win it was 1-0 (7.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Airdrieonians would win this match.
