Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 50.98%. A win for Dumbarton had a probability of 25.36% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.62%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest Dumbarton win was 1-2 (6.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
