Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 36.52%. A win for East Fife had a probability of 36.22% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.97%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest East Fife win was 1-0 (10.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alloa Athletic would win this match.
