SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 73.59%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Peterhead had a probability of 10.39%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.34%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.51%), while for a Peterhead win it was 1-2 (3.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alloa Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | Peterhead |
73.59% ( -0.54) | 16.01% ( 0.2) | 10.39% ( 0.34) |
| Both teams to score 51.4% ( 0.59) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.11% ( 0.09) | 35.88% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.03% ( 0.1) | 57.97% ( -0.1) |
| Alloa Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.62% ( -0.1) | 8.38% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 70.84% ( -0.24) | 29.15% ( 0.24) |
| Peterhead Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.1% ( 0.71) | 43.89% ( -0.71) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.96% ( 0.58) | 80.03% ( -0.58) |
| Score Analysis |
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | Peterhead |
| 2-0 @ 11.3% ( -0.16) 3-0 @ 9.34% ( -0.17)2-1 @ 9.31% ( 0.05)1-0 @ 9.12% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 7.69% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 5.79% ( -0.14)4-1 @ 4.77% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.17% ( 0.07)5-0 @ 2.87% ( -0.08)5-1 @ 2.37% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.96% ( 0.03)6-0 @ 1.19% ( -0.04)6-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)5-2 @ 0.97% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.76% Total : 73.59% | 1-1 @ 7.51% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 3.83% ( 0.1)0-0 @ 3.68% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.99% Total : 16.01% | 1-2 @ 3.09% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 3.03% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 1.25% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.05)Other @ 1.98% Total : 10.39% |
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