SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 54.07%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 23.39% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.03%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 1-2 (6.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Airdrieonians would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Airdrieonians | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
54.07% ( 0.11) | 22.54% ( 0.12) | 23.39% ( -0.23) |
| Both teams to score 58.08% ( -0.71) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.4% ( -0.81) | 41.59% ( 0.81) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36% ( -0.83) | 63.99% ( 0.83) |
| Airdrieonians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.64% ( -0.25) | 15.36% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.87% ( -0.47) | 44.13% ( 0.47) |
| Alloa Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.61% ( -0.64) | 31.38% ( 0.64) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.24% ( -0.75) | 67.75% ( 0.75) |
| Score Analysis |
| Airdrieonians | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
| 2-1 @ 9.8% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 9.03% ( 0.25)2-0 @ 8.46% ( 0.16)3-1 @ 6.12% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 5.28% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 3.55% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 2.87% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 2.48% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.66% ( -0.06)5-1 @ 1.08% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.82% Total : 54.07% | 1-1 @ 10.46% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 5.68% ( -0.09)0-0 @ 4.82% ( 0.17)3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.2% Total : 22.53% | 1-2 @ 6.06% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 5.59% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 3.24% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.72% Total : 23.39% |
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