Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dumbarton win with a probability of 44.28%. A win for Annan Athletic had a probability of 30.23% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dumbarton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Annan Athletic win was 0-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dumbarton would win this match.
Result | ||
Dumbarton | Draw | Annan Athletic |
44.28% ( -2.57) | 25.49% ( 0.21) | 30.23% ( 2.36) |
Both teams to score 54.19% ( 0.79) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.54% ( 0.36) | 49.46% ( -0.36) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.5% ( 0.32) | 71.5% ( -0.32) |
Dumbarton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.71% ( -1.02) | 22.29% ( 1.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.25% ( -1.55) | 55.75% ( 1.55) |
Annan Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.74% ( 1.91) | 30.26% ( -1.91) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.56% ( 2.22) | 66.44% ( -2.22) |
Score Analysis |
Dumbarton | Draw | Annan Athletic |
1-0 @ 10.12% ( -0.47) 2-1 @ 9.08% ( -0.21) 2-0 @ 7.6% ( -0.6) 3-1 @ 4.54% ( -0.25) 3-0 @ 3.8% ( -0.43) 3-2 @ 2.72% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.71% ( -0.15) 4-0 @ 1.43% ( -0.21) 4-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.25% Total : 44.27% | 1-1 @ 12.1% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 6.75% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 5.43% ( 0.16) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.49% | 0-1 @ 8.06% ( 0.3) 1-2 @ 7.23% ( 0.42) 0-2 @ 4.82% ( 0.42) 1-3 @ 2.88% ( 0.31) 2-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.17) 0-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.26) Other @ 3.15% Total : 30.23% |
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