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Scottish League Two | Gameweek 24
Feb 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Bet Butler Stadium
AA

Dumbarton
2 - 1
Annan

Wallace (5'), McLean (79')
Blair (45+3'), Carswell (69')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Goss (53')
Wallace (44'), Lussint (72')
Coverage of the Scottish League Two clash between Dumbarton and Annan Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stenhousemuir 1-1 Dumbarton
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Bonnyrigg Rose 1-2 Annan
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in Scottish League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dumbarton win with a probability of 44.28%. A win for Annan Athletic had a probability of 30.23% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dumbarton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Annan Athletic win was 0-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dumbarton would win this match.

Result
DumbartonDrawAnnan Athletic
44.28% (-2.574 -2.57) 25.49% (0.21 0.21) 30.23% (2.363 2.36)
Both teams to score 54.19% (0.794 0.79)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.54% (0.358 0.36)49.46% (-0.36 -0.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.5% (0.32 0.32)71.5% (-0.32199999999999 -0.32)
Dumbarton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.71% (-1.017 -1.02)22.29% (1.015 1.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.25% (-1.549 -1.55)55.75% (1.547 1.55)
Annan Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.74% (1.909 1.91)30.26% (-1.91 -1.91)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.56% (2.223 2.22)66.44% (-2.225 -2.22)
Score Analysis
    Dumbarton 44.27%
    Annan Athletic 30.23%
    Draw 25.49%
DumbartonDrawAnnan Athletic
1-0 @ 10.12% (-0.47 -0.47)
2-1 @ 9.08% (-0.213 -0.21)
2-0 @ 7.6% (-0.598 -0.6)
3-1 @ 4.54% (-0.251 -0.25)
3-0 @ 3.8% (-0.426 -0.43)
3-2 @ 2.72% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-1 @ 1.71% (-0.15 -0.15)
4-0 @ 1.43% (-0.209 -0.21)
4-2 @ 1.02% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 44.27%
1-1 @ 12.1% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 6.75% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-2 @ 5.43% (0.157 0.16)
3-3 @ 1.08% (0.054 0.05)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.49%
0-1 @ 8.06% (0.3 0.3)
1-2 @ 7.23% (0.421 0.42)
0-2 @ 4.82% (0.417 0.42)
1-3 @ 2.88% (0.307 0.31)
2-3 @ 2.16% (0.171 0.17)
0-3 @ 1.92% (0.256 0.26)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 30.23%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Stenhousemuir 1-1 Dumbarton
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Dumbarton 1-0 Bonnyrigg Rose
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Kilmarnock 1-0 Dumbarton
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in Scottish Cup
Last Game: Forfar 2-1 Dumbarton
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Albion Rovers 0-1 Dumbarton
Saturday, December 31 at 1pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Dumbarton 2-0 East Fife
Saturday, December 24 at 1pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Bonnyrigg Rose 1-2 Annan
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Annan 3-0 East Fife
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Annan 4-0 Bonnyrigg Rose
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Elgin 1-1 Annan
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Annan 0-2 Forfar
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Annan 5-1 Albion Rovers
Friday, December 23 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Two


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