SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 39.2%. A win for Queen of the South had a probability of 34.6% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest Queen of the South win was 0-1 (9.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alloa Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | Queen of the South |
39.2% ( 0.01) | 26.2% ( -0.01) | 34.6% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 53.38% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.83% ( 0.04) | 51.17% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.98% ( 0.03) | 73.02% ( -0.03) |
| Alloa Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.4% ( 0.02) | 25.59% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.52% ( 0.03) | 60.47% ( -0.03) |
| Queen of the South Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.75% ( 0.02) | 28.25% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.03% ( 0.02) | 63.96% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | Queen of the South |
| 1-0 @ 9.85% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.49% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.72% 3-1 @ 3.86% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.05% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.44% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.31% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.04% ( 0)Other @ 2.45% Total : 39.2% | 1-1 @ 12.45% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.23% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.36% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.03% ( 0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.19% | 0-1 @ 9.14% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.87% 0-2 @ 5.78% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.32% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.43% 2-3 @ 2.26% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.05% ( 0)Other @ 2.75% Total : 34.6% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
