SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 47.39%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 27.26% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (8.4%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 0-1 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Queen of the South | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
47.39% ( -0.12) | 25.34% ( -0.05) | 27.26% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 52.75% ( 0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.55% ( 0.29) | 50.45% ( -0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.62% ( 0.25) | 72.38% ( -0.26) |
| Queen of the South Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.7% ( 0.07) | 21.3% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.76% ( 0.1) | 54.23% ( -0.11) |
| Alloa Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.02% ( 0.28) | 32.97% ( -0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.44% ( 0.31) | 69.56% ( -0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Queen of the South | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 10.86% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 9.32% ( 0)2-0 @ 8.4% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 4.8% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.33% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.67% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.86% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.67% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.03% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.46% Total : 47.39% | 1-1 @ 12.05% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.02% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 5.17% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.34% | 0-1 @ 7.79% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.68% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 4.32% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.47% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.91% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.48% Total : 27.26% |
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