SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 43.17%. A win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 31.67% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Falkirk | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
43.17% ( -1.59) | 25.16% ( -0.17) | 31.67% ( 1.76) |
| Both teams to score 55.96% ( 1.45) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.54% ( 1.5) | 47.46% ( -1.5) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.33% ( 1.37) | 69.67% ( -1.37) |
| Falkirk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.04% ( -0.1) | 21.96% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.75% ( -0.15) | 55.25% ( 0.15) |
| Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.7% ( 1.95) | 28.3% ( -1.94) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.98% ( 2.39) | 64.02% ( -2.39) |
| Score Analysis |
| Falkirk | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 9.42% ( -0.63) 2-1 @ 9.01% ( -0.13)2-0 @ 7.14% ( -0.5)3-1 @ 4.56% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 3.61% ( -0.27)3-2 @ 2.88% ( 0.11)4-1 @ 1.73% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.37% ( -0.11)4-2 @ 1.09% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.38% Total : 43.17% | 1-1 @ 11.89% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 6.21% ( -0.4)2-2 @ 5.69% ( 0.23)3-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.11)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.16% | 0-1 @ 7.85% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 7.51% ( 0.32)0-2 @ 4.95% ( 0.22)1-3 @ 3.16% ( 0.29)2-3 @ 2.4% ( 0.22)0-3 @ 2.08% ( 0.2)1-4 @ 1% ( 0.14)Other @ 2.73% Total : 31.67% |
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