SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 63.19%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 15.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.28%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.97%), while for an Alloa Athletic win it was 0-1 (5.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dunfermline Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
63.19% ( 0.9) | 20.97% ( -0.51) | 15.84% ( -0.4) |
| Both teams to score 50.26% ( 0.75) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.36% ( 1.45) | 45.64% ( -1.46) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.04% ( 1.37) | 67.96% ( -1.37) |
| Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.2% ( 0.75) | 13.8% ( -0.75) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.87% ( 1.46) | 41.13% ( -1.46) |
| Alloa Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.31% ( 0.37) | 41.69% ( -0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.83% ( 0.32) | 78.16% ( -0.32) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 11.39% ( -0.4) 2-0 @ 11.28% ( -0.08)2-1 @ 9.87% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 7.45% ( 0.14)3-1 @ 6.52% ( 0.19)4-0 @ 3.69% ( 0.17)4-1 @ 3.23% ( 0.18)3-2 @ 2.85% ( 0.11)5-0 @ 1.46% ( 0.1)4-2 @ 1.41% ( 0.09)5-1 @ 1.28% ( 0.1)Other @ 2.76% Total : 63.18% | 1-1 @ 9.97% ( -0.24) 0-0 @ 5.75% ( -0.36)2-2 @ 4.32% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.93% Total : 20.97% | 0-1 @ 5.03% ( -0.27) 1-2 @ 4.36% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 2.2% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 1.27% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.72% Total : 15.84% |
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