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Scottish League One | Gameweek 27
Mar 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
East End Park
AA

Dunfermline
2 - 0
Alloa

Hamilton (41'), O'Hara (68')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Doyle (33')
Coverage of the Scottish League One clash between Dunfermline Athletic and Alloa Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: QotS 0-2 Dunfermline
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Alloa 1-0 Montrose
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 63.19%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 15.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.28%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.97%), while for an Alloa Athletic win it was 0-1 (5.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dunfermline Athletic would win this match.

Result
Dunfermline AthleticDrawAlloa Athletic
63.19% (0.904 0.9) 20.97% (-0.509 -0.51) 15.84% (-0.395 -0.4)
Both teams to score 50.26% (0.748 0.75)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.36% (1.454 1.45)45.64% (-1.455 -1.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.04% (1.37 1.37)67.96% (-1.371 -1.37)
Dunfermline Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.2% (0.745 0.75)13.8% (-0.746 -0.75)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.87% (1.458 1.46)41.13% (-1.459 -1.46)
Alloa Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.31% (0.367 0.37)41.69% (-0.368 -0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.83% (0.319 0.32)78.16% (-0.321 -0.32)
Score Analysis
    Dunfermline Athletic 63.18%
    Alloa Athletic 15.84%
    Draw 20.97%
Dunfermline AthleticDrawAlloa Athletic
1-0 @ 11.39% (-0.4 -0.4)
2-0 @ 11.28% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-1 @ 9.87% (0.025 0.03)
3-0 @ 7.45% (0.143 0.14)
3-1 @ 6.52% (0.19 0.19)
4-0 @ 3.69% (0.167 0.17)
4-1 @ 3.23% (0.177 0.18)
3-2 @ 2.85% (0.111 0.11)
5-0 @ 1.46% (0.104 0.1)
4-2 @ 1.41% (0.09 0.09)
5-1 @ 1.28% (0.102 0.1)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 63.18%
1-1 @ 9.97% (-0.241 -0.24)
0-0 @ 5.75% (-0.364 -0.36)
2-2 @ 4.32% (0.053999999999999 0.05)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 20.97%
0-1 @ 5.03% (-0.265 -0.27)
1-2 @ 4.36% (-0.063000000000001 -0.06)
0-2 @ 2.2% (-0.093 -0.09)
1-3 @ 1.27% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.26% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 15.84%

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Form Guide
Last Game: QotS 0-2 Dunfermline
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Dunfermline 1-1 Airdrieonians
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Airdrieonians 3-4 Dunfermline
Saturday, February 11 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Dunfermline 2-0 Montrose
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Clyde 1-1 Dunfermline
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Dundee 4-2 Dunfermline
Tuesday, January 24 at 7.45pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
Last Game: Alloa 1-0 Montrose
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Falkirk 1-0 Alloa
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Alloa 1-1 Falkirk
Tuesday, February 7 at 7.45pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Alloa 1-0 Peterhead
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Airdrieonians 4-0 Alloa
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Alloa 1-2 Falkirk
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in Scottish Cup


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