SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 44.67%. A win for Falkirk had a probability of 29.54% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Falkirk win was 0-1 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dunfermline Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Falkirk |
44.67% ( -0.29) | 25.79% ( 0.14) | 29.54% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 52.86% ( -0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.98% ( -0.48) | 51.02% ( 0.49) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.12% ( -0.42) | 72.88% ( 0.43) |
| Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.23% ( -0.34) | 22.78% ( 0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.53% ( -0.5) | 56.47% ( 0.52) |
| Falkirk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.45% ( -0.13) | 31.56% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.05% ( -0.15) | 67.96% ( 0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Falkirk |
| 1-0 @ 10.63% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 9.07% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 7.87% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.47% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 3.88% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.66% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.44% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.12% Total : 44.67% | 1-1 @ 12.26% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 7.19% ( 0.14)2-2 @ 5.23% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.78% | 0-1 @ 8.29% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 7.07% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.78% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 2.72% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.84% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.83% Total : 29.54% |
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