SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 38.92%. A win for Queen of the South had a probability of 34.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.41%) and 0-2 (6.78%). The likeliest Queen of the South win was 1-0 (9.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dunfermline Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Queen of the South | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
34.56% ( 0.1) | 26.52% ( 0.14) | 38.92% ( -0.23) |
| Both teams to score 52.33% ( -0.42) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.48% ( -0.55) | 52.52% ( 0.54) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.82% ( -0.47) | 74.18% ( 0.47) |
| Queen of the South Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.07% ( -0.21) | 28.93% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.19% ( -0.25) | 64.81% ( 0.25) |
| Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.62% ( -0.38) | 26.37% ( 0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.47% ( -0.51) | 61.52% ( 0.51) |
| Score Analysis |
| Queen of the South | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 9.46% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 7.82% ( -0)2-0 @ 5.87% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 3.23% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.43% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.59% Total : 34.56% | 1-1 @ 12.61% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 7.63% ( 0.16)2-2 @ 5.21% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.52% | 0-1 @ 10.16% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 8.41% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 6.78% 1-3 @ 3.73% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 3.01% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.26% Total : 38.91% |
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