SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kelty Hearts win with a probability of 40.58%. A win for Queen of the South had a probability of 34.44% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kelty Hearts win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.67%) and 2-0 (6.46%). The likeliest Queen of the South win was 1-2 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kelty Hearts would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kelty Hearts | Draw | Queen of the South |
40.58% ( -0.23) | 24.99% ( -0.17) | 34.44% ( 0.4) |
| Both teams to score 57.47% ( 0.68) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.12% ( 0.85) | 45.88% ( -0.84) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.81% ( 0.8) | 68.2% ( -0.79) |
| Kelty Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.48% ( 0.26) | 22.53% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.9% ( 0.38) | 56.1% ( -0.37) |
| Queen of the South Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.19% ( 0.64) | 25.82% ( -0.64) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.23% ( 0.86) | 60.78% ( -0.86) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kelty Hearts | Draw | Queen of the South |
| 2-1 @ 8.75% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.67% ( -0.25)2-0 @ 6.46% ( -0.14)3-1 @ 4.35% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.21% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.94% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 1.62% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.2% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.1% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.29% Total : 40.58% | 1-1 @ 11.73% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 5.92% ( 0.09)0-0 @ 5.82% ( -0.21)3-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.98% | 1-2 @ 7.95% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 7.87% ( -0.14)0-2 @ 5.33% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.59% ( 0.1)2-3 @ 2.67% ( 0.09)0-3 @ 2.41% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 1.22% ( 0.05)2-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.5% Total : 34.44% |
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