SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 62.8%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Montrose had a probability of 16.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.2%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.02%), while for a Montrose win it was 0-1 (5.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dunfermline Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Montrose |
62.8% ( 0.28) | 21.1% ( -0.15) | 16.1% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 50.43% ( 0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.28% ( 0.41) | 45.71% ( -0.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.96% ( 0.39) | 68.03% ( -0.39) |
| Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.05% ( 0.22) | 13.94% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.58% ( 0.43) | 41.41% ( -0.43) |
| Montrose Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.59% ( 0.08) | 41.4% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.09% ( 0.07) | 77.91% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Montrose |
| 1-0 @ 11.37% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 11.2% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 9.88% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 7.36% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 6.49% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 3.62% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 3.2% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.86% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 1.43% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.41% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 1.26% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.72% Total : 62.79% | 1-1 @ 10.02% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 5.77% ( -0.1)2-2 @ 4.36% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.94% Total : 21.09% | 0-1 @ 5.09% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 4.42% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 1.3% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.76% Total : 16.1% |
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