Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 64.28%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 16.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.74%) and 1-0 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.98%), while for a Kelty Hearts win it was 1-2 (4.55%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Greenock Morton would win this match.
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