SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 64.28%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 16.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.74%) and 1-0 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.98%), while for a Kelty Hearts win it was 1-2 (4.55%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Greenock Morton would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
64.28% ( 0) | 19.43% | 16.29% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 56.61% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.23% ( -0) | 37.77% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.98% ( -0) | 60.02% ( 0.01) |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.89% ( 0) | 11.11% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.48% ( -0) | 35.52% ( 0) |
| Kelty Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.68% | 36.32% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.9% | 73.1% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
| 2-1 @ 9.87% 2-0 @ 9.74% ( 0)1-0 @ 8.87% ( 0)3-1 @ 7.23% 3-0 @ 7.14% 4-1 @ 3.97% ( -0)4-0 @ 3.92% 3-2 @ 3.66% 4-2 @ 2.01% 5-1 @ 1.75% 5-0 @ 1.72% Other @ 4.41% Total : 64.28% | 1-1 @ 8.98% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.03% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 0.19% Total : 19.43% | 1-2 @ 4.55% 0-1 @ 4.09% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.07% 2-3 @ 1.69% 1-3 @ 1.54% Other @ 2.37% Total : 16.29% |
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