Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stranraer win with a probability of 53.91%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Cowdenbeath had a probability of 21.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stranraer win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.11%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.61%), while for a Cowdenbeath win it was 0-1 (7.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stranraer would win this match.
