SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dumbarton win with a probability of 46.99%. A win for Stenhousemuir had a probability of 27.99% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dumbarton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (8.08%). The likeliest Stenhousemuir win was 0-1 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Dumbarton in this match.
| Result | ||
| Dumbarton | Draw | Stenhousemuir |
46.99% ( -6.55) | 25.02% ( 1.16) | 27.99% ( 5.4) |
| Both teams to score 54.32% ( 1.63) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.36% ( -0.38) | 48.64% ( 0.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.24% ( -0.35) | 70.76% ( 0.35) |
| Dumbarton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.26% ( -2.78) | 20.74% ( 2.78) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.64% ( -4.57) | 53.36% ( 4.58) |
| Stenhousemuir Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.53% ( 4.32) | 31.47% ( -4.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.15% ( 4.7) | 67.85% ( -4.7) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dumbarton | Draw | Stenhousemuir |
| 1-0 @ 10.26% ( -0.77) 2-1 @ 9.34% ( -0.4)2-0 @ 8.08% ( -1.4)3-1 @ 4.9% ( -0.68)3-0 @ 4.24% ( -1.19)3-2 @ 2.83% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.93% ( -0.47)4-0 @ 1.67% ( -0.66)4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.12)Other @ 2.64% Total : 46.98% | 1-1 @ 11.86% ( 0.53) 0-0 @ 6.53% ( 0.1)2-2 @ 5.4% ( 0.4)3-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.11)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.01% | 0-1 @ 7.54% ( 0.94) 1-2 @ 6.86% ( 1.04)0-2 @ 4.36% ( 0.97)1-3 @ 2.64% ( 0.65)2-3 @ 2.08% ( 0.37)0-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.52)Other @ 2.82% Total : 27.99% |
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