SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dumbarton win with a probability of 46.24%. A win for Stenhousemuir had a probability of 29.43% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dumbarton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.07%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Stenhousemuir win was 1-2 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dumbarton | Draw | Stenhousemuir |
46.24% ( 0.02) | 24.33% ( -0.01) | 29.43% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 57.6% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.22% ( 0.02) | 44.78% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.86% ( 0.02) | 67.14% ( -0.02) |
| Dumbarton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.5% ( 0.01) | 19.49% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.63% ( 0.02) | 51.37% ( -0.03) |
| Stenhousemuir Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.55% ( -0) | 28.45% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.78% ( 0) | 64.22% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dumbarton | Draw | Stenhousemuir |
| 2-1 @ 9.32% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.07% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.41% 3-1 @ 5.08% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.04% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.19% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.08% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.65% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.31% ( 0)Other @ 3.09% Total : 46.24% | 1-1 @ 11.39% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.86% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.55% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.34% ( 0)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.32% | 1-2 @ 7.16% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.97% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.38% ( -0)1-3 @ 3% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.45% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.84% ( -0)1-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.68% Total : 29.43% |
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