Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dumbarton win with a probability of 46.24%. A win for Stenhousemuir had a probability of 29.43% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dumbarton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.07%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Stenhousemuir win was 1-2 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
0.02) 
-0.01) 
