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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forfar Athletic win with a probability of 38.83%. A win for Dumbarton had a probability of 36.31% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forfar Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.23%) and 2-0 (6.05%). The likeliest Dumbarton win was 1-2 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Forfar Athletic | Draw | Dumbarton |
38.83% ( -0.61) | 24.85% ( 0.12) | 36.31% ( 0.5) |
| Both teams to score 58.25% ( -0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55% ( -0.51) | 45% ( 0.51) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.64% ( -0.49) | 67.36% ( 0.49) |
| Forfar Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.99% ( -0.53) | 23.01% ( 0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.19% ( -0.79) | 56.81% ( 0.79) |
| Dumbarton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.66% ( 0.05) | 24.34% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.27% ( 0.06) | 58.73% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Forfar Athletic | Draw | Dumbarton |
| 2-1 @ 8.54% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 8.23% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 6.05% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 4.18% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 2.96% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 2.96% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 1.54% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 1.09% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.09% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.21% Total : 38.83% | 1-1 @ 11.62% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 6.04% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 5.6% ( 0.12)3-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.84% | 1-2 @ 8.22% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 7.91% ( 0.18)0-2 @ 5.59% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 3.87% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.84% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.63% ( 0.07)1-4 @ 1.37% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1% ( -0)0-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.95% Total : 36.31% |
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