SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stenhousemuir win with a probability of 59.18%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Stranraer had a probability of 18.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stenhousemuir win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.01%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.31%), while for a Stranraer win it was 0-1 (5.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Stenhousemuir in this match.
| Result | ||
| Stenhousemuir | Draw | Stranraer |
59.18% ( 0.12) | 21.83% ( 0.14) | 18.99% ( -0.26) |
| Both teams to score 53.79% ( -0.91) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.87% ( -0.99) | 44.13% ( 1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.49% ( -0.98) | 66.51% ( 0.98) |
| Stenhousemuir Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.45% ( -0.29) | 14.55% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.4% ( -0.56) | 42.6% ( 0.56) |
| Stranraer Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.95% ( -0.86) | 37.05% ( 0.86) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.16% ( -0.86) | 73.84% ( 0.86) |
| Score Analysis |
| Stenhousemuir | Draw | Stranraer |
| 1-0 @ 10.39% ( 0.34) 2-0 @ 10.01% ( 0.22)2-1 @ 9.94% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.44% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 6.39% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 3.17% ( -0.11)4-0 @ 3.1% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.08% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 1.53% ( -0.07)5-0 @ 1.2% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.19% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.74% Total : 59.18% | 1-1 @ 10.31% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 5.39% ( 0.23)2-2 @ 4.94% ( -0.12)3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.14% Total : 21.82% | 0-1 @ 5.35% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 5.12% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 2.66% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.53% Total : 18.99% |
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