SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win with a probability of 45.65%. A win for Dumbarton had a probability of 31.63% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.73%) and 2-0 (6.1%). The likeliest Dumbarton win was 1-2 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic | Draw | Dumbarton |
45.65% ( 1.43) | 22.72% ( -0.53) | 31.63% ( -0.9) |
| Both teams to score 64.66% ( 1.54) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.95% ( 2.2) | 36.05% ( -2.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.85% ( 2.37) | 58.15% ( -2.38) |
| Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.7% ( 1.42) | 16.29% ( -1.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.14% ( 2.51) | 45.86% ( -2.51) |
| Dumbarton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.24% ( 0.54) | 22.75% ( -0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.56% ( 0.8) | 56.44% ( -0.79) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic | Draw | Dumbarton |
| 2-1 @ 9.03% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 6.73% ( -0.42)2-0 @ 6.1% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 5.46% ( 0.27)3-2 @ 4.04% ( 0.26)3-0 @ 3.69% ( 0.12)4-1 @ 2.48% ( 0.23)4-2 @ 1.83% ( 0.2)4-0 @ 1.67% ( 0.13)4-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.11)Other @ 3.69% Total : 45.65% | 1-1 @ 9.96% ( -0.44) 2-2 @ 6.69% ( 0.13)0-0 @ 3.71% ( -0.42)3-3 @ 2% ( 0.16)Other @ 0.37% Total : 22.72% | 1-2 @ 7.37% ( -0.21) 0-1 @ 5.49% ( -0.52)0-2 @ 4.06% ( -0.32)1-3 @ 3.64% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 3.3% ( 0.11)0-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.12)1-4 @ 1.35% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.22% ( 0.06)Other @ 3.19% Total : 31.63% |
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