SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win with a probability of 39.77%. A win for Stranraer had a probability of 34.66% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (6.57%). The likeliest Stranraer win was 0-1 (8.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic | Draw | Stranraer |
39.77% ( 0.43) | 25.56% ( 0.02) | 34.66% ( -0.46) |
| Both teams to score 55.51% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.56% ( -0.18) | 48.44% ( 0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.42% ( -0.16) | 70.57% ( 0.16) |
| Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.94% ( 0.15) | 24.05% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.67% ( 0.21) | 58.33% ( -0.22) |
| Stranraer Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.1% ( -0.36) | 26.9% ( 0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.77% ( -0.47) | 62.22% ( 0.47) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic | Draw | Stranraer |
| 1-0 @ 9.22% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 8.63% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 6.57% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 4.1% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 3.12% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 2.69% 4-1 @ 1.46% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.11% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 0.96% ( 0)Other @ 1.93% Total : 39.77% | 1-1 @ 12.1% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.47% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 5.66% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.56% | 0-1 @ 8.5% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.95% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 5.58% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 3.48% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 2.48% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.09% Total : 34.66% |
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